Saturday, August 14, 2004
You're no good, baby you're no good
You're No Good
Young voters are deserting Bush in droves.
The latest Washington Post/ABC News poll which was taken immediately following the Democratic Convention gives Kerry a two to one lead over Bush with voters under the age of 30. In 2000, Gore and Bush essentially split the under 30 vote with 48 to 46 percent, respectively. Ouch:
Bush's problems with younger voters began long before the Democratic convention, Post-ABC polls suggest. The last time Bush and Kerry were tied among the under-30 crowd was in April. In the five surveys since then, Bush has trailed Kerry by an average of 18 percentage points.
Virtually every other major poll conducted in the past month confirms Kerry's popularity with voters under the age of 3o. A poll by the Pew Center for the People & the Press released Thursday reported Kerry still ahead by 18 points among this group.
Taken together, those surveys suggest that if the election were held today, Bush would do about as well among younger voters as GOP presidential candidate Robert J. Dole in 1996. Dole lost to President Bill Clinton by 53 percent to 34 percent among 18-to-29-year-olds. Bush's father split the young vote in 1988 and lost to Clinton by nine points in 1992. The Reagan era marked the recent high-water mark for the GOP with younger voters, who gave the Gipper his biggest victory margin of any age group in 1984.
This is a fairly interesting development. Recently our friends at Centerfield posted here a piece titled, "Young Voters for Bush". Their piece links to a story by Chris Collins of the Seattle Times who tells young people:
"But when we live in this "end justifies the means" political reality — where it doesn't matter, really, what the facts and details are as long as you believe in some grand political vision — it's important to know that on the issues, Bush's track record is mostly supportive of this generation's future.
Apparently young American voters were willing to buy into this line of reasoning when we weren't two years into an unneccesary and unjustified war...and when they could actually get a job that would help them to pay their car insurance and save a little for college.
Funny how those little "details" matter when political reality is trumped by the cold, hard reality of every day life. And to Mr Collins...many young voters (and Americans in general), respectfully disagree.
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Young voters are deserting Bush in droves.
The latest Washington Post/ABC News poll which was taken immediately following the Democratic Convention gives Kerry a two to one lead over Bush with voters under the age of 30. In 2000, Gore and Bush essentially split the under 30 vote with 48 to 46 percent, respectively. Ouch:
Bush's problems with younger voters began long before the Democratic convention, Post-ABC polls suggest. The last time Bush and Kerry were tied among the under-30 crowd was in April. In the five surveys since then, Bush has trailed Kerry by an average of 18 percentage points.
Virtually every other major poll conducted in the past month confirms Kerry's popularity with voters under the age of 3o. A poll by the Pew Center for the People & the Press released Thursday reported Kerry still ahead by 18 points among this group.
Taken together, those surveys suggest that if the election were held today, Bush would do about as well among younger voters as GOP presidential candidate Robert J. Dole in 1996. Dole lost to President Bill Clinton by 53 percent to 34 percent among 18-to-29-year-olds. Bush's father split the young vote in 1988 and lost to Clinton by nine points in 1992. The Reagan era marked the recent high-water mark for the GOP with younger voters, who gave the Gipper his biggest victory margin of any age group in 1984.
This is a fairly interesting development. Recently our friends at Centerfield posted here a piece titled, "Young Voters for Bush". Their piece links to a story by Chris Collins of the Seattle Times who tells young people:
"But when we live in this "end justifies the means" political reality — where it doesn't matter, really, what the facts and details are as long as you believe in some grand political vision — it's important to know that on the issues, Bush's track record is mostly supportive of this generation's future.
Apparently young American voters were willing to buy into this line of reasoning when we weren't two years into an unneccesary and unjustified war...and when they could actually get a job that would help them to pay their car insurance and save a little for college.
Funny how those little "details" matter when political reality is trumped by the cold, hard reality of every day life. And to Mr Collins...many young voters (and Americans in general), respectfully disagree.
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